HPG Velo Cycling Safety Survey Results
Damon Bates·
Cycling is safer than living, per this survey. Willie's WTMB clients complicate the mortality statistics.
Tom Snow wrote:
Interesting article on bicycling safety based on data from UK. Cycling is safer than Living per this survey…
Risk by time (US) — Fatalities per million hours:
Sky diving: 128.71 • General aviation: 15.58 • On-road motorcycling: 8.80 • Scuba diving: 1.98 • Living (all causes of death): 1.53 • Swimming: 1.07 • Snowmobiling: 0.88 • Passenger cars: 0.47 • Water skiing: 0.28 • Bicycling: 0.26 • Flying (scheduled domestic airlines): 0.15 • Hunting: 0.08 • Cosmic radiation from transcontinental flights: 0.035 • Home living (active): 0.027 • School bus travel: 0.022 • Car post-collision fire: 0.017 • Home living (sleeping): 0.014 • Residential fire: 0.003
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Damon Bates wrote:
Interesting…particularly the “living all causes” number…which I feel is slightly understated.
One of the benefits of working for a highly rated life insurance company is that we get to do cutting edge research. Well we’ve done that research and (surprise) we learned that everyone dies.
Now Im not an actuary (I only play one in cyberspace) but I believe all the activities listed should result in a lower probability of death than “living all causes” which should have an expected value of 1.0 …or significantly more per million hours than shown …no?
Might be interesting to know too, how many deaths per million hrs Willie has observed in his WTMB clients??
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John Whisnant wrote:
Since Damon asked about fatalities per million hours for WTM clients, he whatsapped me that on a per client basis, none of his clients are yet 114 years old (1M hours = 114 years). Since dying before then would exclude them from the database and ensuing analysis, none of his clients are considered dead by this British standard.
In addition, Willie cannot emphasize enough that he cannot remember if Serena, Venus or Simone were his clients after he became overheated and dehydrated, which then triggered selective amnesia. Similar to Lance and his backdated cortisone prescription, Willie has a prescription to treat this condition but is planning to say no more about this or any of the other athletes the Russians have outed or will out. Russians are such ingrates given all that Willie did for them in Rio.
Interesting article on bicycling safety based on data from UK. Cycling is safer than Living per this survey…
Risk by time (US) — Fatalities per million hours:
Sky diving: 128.71 • General aviation: 15.58 • On-road motorcycling: 8.80 • Scuba diving: 1.98 • Living (all causes of death): 1.53 • Swimming: 1.07 • Snowmobiling: 0.88 • Passenger cars: 0.47 • Water skiing: 0.28 • Bicycling: 0.26 • Flying (scheduled domestic airlines): 0.15 • Hunting: 0.08 • Cosmic radiation from transcontinental flights: 0.035 • Home living (active): 0.027 • School bus travel: 0.022 • Car post-collision fire: 0.017 • Home living (sleeping): 0.014 • Residential fire: 0.003
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Damon Bates wrote:
Interesting…particularly the “living all causes” number…which I feel is slightly understated.
One of the benefits of working for a highly rated life insurance company is that we get to do cutting edge research. Well we’ve done that research and (surprise) we learned that everyone dies.
Now Im not an actuary (I only play one in cyberspace) but I believe all the activities listed should result in a lower probability of death than “living all causes” which should have an expected value of 1.0 …or significantly more per million hours than shown …no?
Might be interesting to know too, how many deaths per million hrs Willie has observed in his WTMB clients??
—
John Whisnant wrote:
Since Damon asked about fatalities per million hours for WTM clients, he whatsapped me that on a per client basis, none of his clients are yet 114 years old (1M hours = 114 years). Since dying before then would exclude them from the database and ensuing analysis, none of his clients are considered dead by this British standard.
In addition, Willie cannot emphasize enough that he cannot remember if Serena, Venus or Simone were his clients after he became overheated and dehydrated, which then triggered selective amnesia. Similar to Lance and his backdated cortisone prescription, Willie has a prescription to treat this condition but is planning to say no more about this or any of the other athletes the Russians have outed or will out. Russians are such ingrates given all that Willie did for them in Rio.